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V-Lab

DHL AG GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026

1 Day

18.43%

increased by 0.19%

1 Week

18.88%

increased by 0.64%

1 Month

20.32%

increased by 2.08%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 19, 2026 at 08:55 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of DHL AG GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 17, 2000 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 227% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 227% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0661
4.83***
αARCH0.0278
2.32**
βGARCH0.9165
82.18***
γleverage0.0632
2.80***

0.976

Persistence

28d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0661
4.83***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0278
2.32**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9165
82.18***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0632
2.80***

Persistence:

0.976

Half-life:

28 days