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V-Lab

DHL AG GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026

1 Day

21.06%

decreased by 0.38%

1 Week

21.34%

decreased by 0.10%

1 Month

22.26%

increased by 0.82%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 08:34 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/16/2024

to

10/16/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of DHL AG GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 17, 2000 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 226% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 226% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0666
4.85***
αARCH0.0278
2.32**
βGARCH0.9164
82.17***
γleverage0.0630
2.79***

0.976

Persistence

28d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0666
4.85***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0278
2.32**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9164
82.17***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0630
2.79***

Persistence:

0.976

Half-life:

28 days