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V-Lab

DHL Group GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

22.14%

decreased by 0.33%

1 Week

22.36%

decreased by 0.11%

1 Month

23.10%

increased by 0.63%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 11:57 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of DHL Group GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 17, 2000 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 237% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0672
19.34***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0273
9.09***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9162
327.21***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0646
11.38***

Persistence:

0.976

Half-life:

28 days