V-Lab
DHL Group GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
22.14%
decreased by 0.33%
1 Week
22.36%
decreased by 0.11%
1 Month
23.10%
increased by 0.63%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 11:57 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 17, 2000 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 237% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0672 | 19.34*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0273 | 9.09*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9162 | 327.21*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0646 | 11.38*** |
Persistence:
0.976
Half-life:
28 days
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