V-Lab
DHL Group GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
20.45%
decreased by 0.28%
1 Week
20.76%
increased by 0.03%
1 Month
21.80%
increased by 1.07%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 08:52 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 17, 2000 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 234% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0663 | 19.26*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0272 | 9.10*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9170 | 329.15*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0635 | 11.27*** |
Persistence:
0.976
Half-life:
28 days
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