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V-Lab

DHL Group GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

24.89%

decreased by 0.75%

1 Week

24.96%

decreased by 0.68%

1 Month

25.21%

decreased by 0.43%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 08:49 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of DHL Group GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 17, 2000 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 238% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0666
19.27***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0269
9.02***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9170
329.14***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0640
11.36***

Persistence:

0.976

Half-life:

28 days