V-Lab
Volkswagen AG GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
30.79%
increased by 0.82%
1 Week
31.01%
increased by 1.04%
1 Month
31.72%
increased by 1.75%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 12:31 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 89% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1213 | 26.61*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0599 | 21.51*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8884 | 370.32*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0532 | 7.78*** |
Persistence:
0.975
Half-life:
27 days
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