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V-Lab

Volkswagen AG MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

28.10%

increased by 1.97%

1 Week

28.64%

increased by 2.51%

1 Month

30.08%

increased by 3.95%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 12:35 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Volkswagen AG MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 115% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

56
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0677
21.16***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8029
103.51***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0781
15.71***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0318
4.57***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0325
5.11***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9604
123.15***

Persistence:

0.910

Half-life:

7 days