V-Lab
Volkswagen AG MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
25.50%
decreased by 0.65%
1 Week
26.67%
increased by 0.52%
1 Month
29.15%
increased by 3.00%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 08:45 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 117% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 56 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0672 | 21.11*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8035 | 104.01*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0785 | 15.82*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0316 | 4.58*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0323 | 5.12*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9606 | 123.98*** |
Persistence:
0.910
Half-life:
7 days
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