V-Lab
Volkswagen AG MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
28.10%
increased by 1.97%
1 Week
28.64%
increased by 2.51%
1 Month
30.08%
increased by 3.95%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 12:35 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 115% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 56 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0677 | 21.16*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8029 | 103.51*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0781 | 15.71*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0318 | 4.57*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0325 | 5.11*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9604 | 123.15*** |
Persistence:
0.910
Half-life:
7 days
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