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V-Lab

Volkswagen AG GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 16th, 2026

1 Day

33.71%

decreased by 1.52%

1 Week

33.76%

decreased by 1.47%

1 Month

33.95%

decreased by 1.28%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 07:07 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/15/2024

to

10/15/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Volkswagen AG GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 29 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 29 days.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 29-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.1128
6.64***
αARCH0.0856
9.59***
βGARCH0.8911
95.04***

0.977

Persistence

29d

Half-life
σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1128
6.64***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0856
9.59***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8911
95.04***

Persistence:

0.977

Half-life:

29 days