V-Lab
GCM Corp Ltd Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026
1 Day
124.62%
decreased by 0.91%
1 Week
125.85%
increased by 0.32%
1 Month
129.48%
increased by 3.95%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 05:55 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 15, 2007 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 15 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 15 days.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 15-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 3.3794 | 3.33*** |
| αARCH | 0.0959 | 3.14*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8523 | 33.34*** |
| γleverage | 0.0147 | 0.25 |
0.956
Persistence15d
Half-lifeμ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 3.3794 | 3.33*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0959 | 3.14*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8523 | 33.34*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0147 | 0.25 |
Persistence:
0.956
Half-life:
15 days
Other Asy. MEM Analyses on International Equities