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V-Lab
V-Lab

GCM Corp Ltd Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

124.62%

decreased by 0.91%

1 Week

125.85%

increased by 0.32%

1 Month

129.48%

increased by 3.95%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 05:55 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of GCM Corp Ltd AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 15, 2007 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 15 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 15 days.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 15-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst3.3794
3.33***
αARCH0.0959
3.14***
βGARCH0.8523
33.34***
γleverage0.0147
0.25

0.956

Persistence

15d

Half-life
μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

3.3794
3.33***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0959
3.14***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8523
33.34***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0147
0.25

Persistence:

0.956

Half-life:

15 days