V-Lab
Vinpearl JSC Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026
1 Day
27.48%
increased by 0.07%
1 Week
29.17%
increased by 1.76%
1 Month
34.39%
increased by 6.98%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 08:40 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 21, 2008 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 31 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 31 days.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.2593 | 11.43*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1907 | 13.03*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7641 | 90.43*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0467 | 1.73* |
Persistence:
0.978
Half-life:
31 days
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