Vinpearl JSC Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
28.96%
increased by 0.61%
1 Week
30.51%
increased by 2.16%
1 Month
35.35%
increased by 7.00%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 08:30 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 21, 2008 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 32 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 32 days.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.2580 | 11.21*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1911 | 12.90*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7656 | 90.27*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0434 | 1.59 |
Persistence:
0.978
Half-life:
32 days
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