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V-Lab

Vinpearl JSC MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

29.60%

decreased by 5.07%

1 Week

33.39%

decreased by 1.28%

1 Month

37.76%

increased by 3.09%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 08:40 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Vinpearl JSC MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 21, 2008 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3574
26.29***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.4562
16.69***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0303
-2.64***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.4497
2.12**
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.1275
1.68*
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.8145
8.20***

Persistence:

0.798

Half-life:

3 days