Vinpearl JSC Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
29.04%
increased by 0.62%
1 Week
30.57%
increased by 2.15%
1 Month
35.32%
increased by 6.90%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 08:30 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 21, 2008 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 22% more than equivalent positive returns.
μ
APMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.2586 | 9.63*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2128 | 27.90*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7647 | 88.27*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0511 | 4.42*** |
δ power Transformation power | 1.9746 | 17.77*** |
Persistence:
0.976
Half-life:
29 days
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