V-Lab
Inmocemento S A Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
39.94%
increased by 1.01%
1 Week
42.92%
increased by 3.99%
1 Month
46.53%
increased by 7.60%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 9, 2026 at 01:04 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 12, 2024 to Aug 7, 2026Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 29% more than equivalent positive returns. The volatility power δ = 1.39 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.
μ
APMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0000 | 4.77*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2687 | 16.10*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5604 | 17.47*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0913 | 3.72*** |
δ power Transformation power | 1.3874 | 7.34*** |
Persistence:
0.786
Half-life:
3 days
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