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V-Lab

Inmocemento S A Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

39.94%

increased by 1.01%

1 Week

42.92%

increased by 3.99%

1 Month

46.53%

increased by 7.60%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 9, 2026 at 01:04 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Inmocemento S A APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 12, 2024 to Aug 7, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 29% more than equivalent positive returns. The volatility power δ = 1.39 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0000
4.77***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2687
16.10***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5604
17.47***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0913
3.72***
δ

power

Transformation power

1.3874
7.34***

Persistence:

0.786

Half-life:

3 days