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V-Lab

Inmocemento S A Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

22.06%

decreased by 0.29%

1 Week

24.23%

increased by 1.88%

1 Month

26.78%

increased by 4.43%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 01:43 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Inmocemento S A S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 12, 2024 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 3 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0963
5.23***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1496
1.97**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6431
3.65***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0939
0.77

Persistence:

0.793

Half-life:

3 days