V-Lab
Inmocemento S A MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, September 4th, 2026
1 Day
24.51%
decreased by 0.81%
1 Week
28.02%
increased by 2.70%
1 Month
29.51%
increased by 4.19%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 08:36 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 12, 2024 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 116 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3671 | 3.93*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.2153 | 2.60*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1812 | -1.74* |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 3.5676 | 0.84 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.492
Half-life:
1 days
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