Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Inmocemento S A MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026

1 Day

24.60%

increased by 0.62%

1 Week

27.53%

increased by 3.55%

1 Month

28.83%

increased by 4.85%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, September 20, 2026 at 02:27 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Inmocemento S A MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 12, 2024 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 1-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow116
αARCH0.3812
4.05***
βGARCH0.2204
2.75***
γleverage-0.1942
-1.86*
λ₁tau intercept3.3948
1.07
λ₂forecast adj.0.0000
0.00
λ₃tau persistence0.0000
0.00

0.505

Persistence

1d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

116
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3812
4.05***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.2204
2.75***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1942
-1.86*
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

3.3948
1.07
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.505

Half-life:

1 days