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V-Lab

Inmocemento S A GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

22.29%

decreased by 0.66%

1 Week

26.35%

increased by 3.40%

1 Month

30.35%

increased by 7.40%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 01:43 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Inmocemento S A GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 12, 2024 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.71 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

4.0846
6.45***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1828
4.83***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7660
22.88***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

4.7123
2.19**

Persistence:

0.766

Half-life:

3 days