V-Lab
Kunlun Tech Co Ltd Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
71.35%
increased by 2.89%
1 Week
66.87%
decreased by 1.59%
1 Month
56.31%
decreased by 12.15%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 07:31 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 5, 2015 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days. The volatility power δ = 0.89 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.
μ
APMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1850 | 8.75*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2010 | 36.64*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7607 | 106.20*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0303 | -2.20** |
δ power Transformation power | 0.8894 | 12.14*** |
Persistence:
0.920
Half-life:
8 days
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