Kunlun Tech Co Ltd Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
99.54%
decreased by 6.94%
1 Week
90.95%
decreased by 15.53%
1 Month
71.09%
decreased by 35.39%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:22 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 5, 2015 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days. The volatility power δ = 0.91 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.
μ
APMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1904 | 8.73*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2011 | 36.33*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7606 | 105.20*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0339 | -2.47** |
δ power Transformation power | 0.9094 | 12.41*** |
Persistence:
0.920
Half-life:
8 days
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