Kunlun Tech Co Ltd MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
98.13%
decreased by 5.48%
1 Week
95.57%
decreased by 8.04%
1 Month
87.36%
decreased by 16.25%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:22 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 5, 2015 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 15 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 15 days.
μ
MEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.6453 | 5.43*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1698 | 18.00*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7864 | 126.57*** |
Persistence:
0.956
Half-life:
15 days
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