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V-Lab

Kunlun Tech Co Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

81.66%

decreased by 1.98%

1 Week

81.85%

decreased by 1.79%

1 Month

82.60%

decreased by 1.04%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:22 PM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

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10Y ·

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graph of Kunlun Tech Co Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 21, 2015 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, volatility shocks have a half-life of 693 trading days (~2.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.06 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

87.8485
9.73***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0561
50.18***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9990
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

4.0598
27.70***

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

693 days