V-Lab
Kunlun Tech Co Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
79.12%
decreased by 3.93%
1 Week
79.32%
decreased by 3.73%
1 Month
80.11%
decreased by 2.94%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 07:56 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 21, 2015 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, volatility shocks have a half-life of 693 trading days (~2.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.04 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 87.5477 | 9.75*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0558 | 50.52*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9990 | |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 4.0409 | 28.60*** |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
693 days
Other Kunlun Tech Co Ltd Analyses
Other GAS-GARCH Student T Analyses on International Equities