Kunlun Tech Co Ltd EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
67.92%
decreased by 1.28%
1 Week
67.79%
decreased by 1.41%
1 Month
67.33%
decreased by 1.87%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:22 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 21, 2015 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.990, volatility shocks have a half-life of 70 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Inverse leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0266 | 3.55*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0368 | 7.40*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9902 | 664.12*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0473 | 11.92*** |
Persistence:
0.990
Half-life:
70 days
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