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V-Lab

Ambica Agarb & Aroma Ind EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

41.95%

decreased by 2.46%

1 Week

45.57%

increased by 1.16%

1 Month

54.26%

increased by 9.85%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 09:39 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Ambica Agarb & Aroma Ind EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 4, 2011 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 113% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.3006
5.98***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2653
10.46***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8912
48.43***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0957
4.81***

Persistence:

0.891

Half-life:

6 days