V-Lab
Ambica Agarb & Aroma Ind GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
1,296.04%
increased by 215.52%
1 Week
1,294.77%
increased by 214.25%
1 Month
1,289.73%
increased by 209.21%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 08:35 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 4, 2011 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.00 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 149.3663 | 7.07*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1359 | 176.94*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9990 | 6,889.66*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 2.0003 |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
693 days
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