Sats As EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
32.46%
increased by 0.03%
1 Week
33.32%
increased by 0.89%
1 Month
36.08%
increased by 3.65%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 07:57 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 23, 2019 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 102% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0920 | 9.17*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1665 | 13.54*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9545 | 219.03*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0563 | -4.46*** |
Persistence:
0.955
Half-life:
15 days
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