V-Lab
Sats As EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
36.02%
increased by 8.09%
1 Week
36.68%
increased by 8.75%
1 Month
38.68%
increased by 10.75%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 16, 2026 at 12:54 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 23, 2019 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 117% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1044 | 9.48*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1664 | 13.48*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9479 | 191.22*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0613 | -4.77*** |
Persistence:
0.948
Half-life:
13 days
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