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V-Lab
V-Lab

Sats As Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026

1 Day

27.12%

increased by 0.45%

1 Week

29.00%

increased by 2.33%

1 Month

33.69%

increased by 7.02%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, October 18, 2026 at 12:57 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/16/2024

to

10/16/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Sats As AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 23, 2019 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 12 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 12 days.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 12-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.3889
4.72***
αARCH0.2350
5.13***
βGARCH0.6759
20.75***
γleverage0.0636
0.82

0.943

Persistence

12d

Half-life
μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.3889
4.72***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2350
5.13***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6759
20.75***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0636
0.82

Persistence:

0.943

Half-life:

12 days