Sats As Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
25.24%
decreased by 1.98%
1 Week
27.66%
increased by 0.44%
1 Month
33.40%
increased by 6.18%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 07:57 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 23, 2019 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 26% more than equivalent positive returns.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.4232 | 18.91*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2429 | 20.16*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6654 | 78.04*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0624 | 3.08*** |
Persistence:
0.939
Half-life:
11 days
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