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V-Lab

Sats As Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

25.24%

decreased by 1.98%

1 Week

27.66%

increased by 0.44%

1 Month

33.40%

increased by 6.18%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 07:57 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Sats As AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 23, 2019 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 26% more than equivalent positive returns.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.4232
18.91***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2429
20.16***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6654
78.04***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0624
3.08***

Persistence:

0.939

Half-life:

11 days