Busy Ming Group Co Ltd Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
40.97%
decreased by 1.22%
1 Week
40.75%
decreased by 1.44%
1 Month
40.47%
decreased by 1.72%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:43 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 28, 2026 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 93% more than equivalent positive returns.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.3449 | 6.66*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2603 | 7.16*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4099 | 7.41*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.2427 | 3.14*** |
Persistence:
0.792
Half-life:
3 days
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