V-Lab
Busy Ming Group Co Ltd Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026
1 Day
35.41%
increased by 3.71%
1 Week
37.42%
increased by 5.72%
1 Month
40.08%
increased by 8.38%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 06:45 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 28, 2026 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 109% more than equivalent positive returns.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.2821 | 6.77*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2187 | 6.89*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4748 | 9.76*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.2383 | 2.74*** |
Persistence:
0.813
Half-life:
3 days
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