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V-Lab

Busy Ming Group Co Ltd Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

41.45%

decreased by 1.42%

1 Week

40.45%

decreased by 2.42%

1 Month

39.10%

decreased by 3.77%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:43 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Busy Ming Group Co Ltd APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 28, 2026 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 85% more than equivalent positive returns. The volatility power δ = 1.80 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0000
1.92*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3637
11.75***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.4494
8.18***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1681
5.90***
δ

power

Transformation power

1.8049
2.81***

Persistence:

0.797

Half-life:

3 days