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V-Lab

Busy Ming Group Co Ltd AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

51.23%

decreased by 0.08%

1 Week

59.46%

increased by 8.15%

1 Month

61.76%

increased by 10.45%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:43 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Busy Ming Group Co Ltd AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 28, 2026 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

The news-impact curve is shifted (γ = 1.06) so that negative returns raise next-day volatility more than positive returns of the same size. The gap is largest for small shocks and narrows for larger ones.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

10.4072
18.58***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3057
9.72***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.00
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

1.0622
4.23***

Persistence:

0.306

Half-life:

1 days