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V-Lab

Busy Ming Group Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

34.80%

increased by 19.82%

1 Week

296,938.68%

increased by 296,923.70%

1 Month

18,925,481,235,625,160,000,000.00%

increased by 18,925,481,235,625,160,000,000.00%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:44 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Busy Ming Group Co Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 28, 2026 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.5021
19.69***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5478
197.42***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.5000
-19.97***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.04
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0052
4.46***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0360
1.86*

Persistence:

0.800

Half-life:

3 days