V-Lab
Busy Ming Group Co Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
65.72%
increased by 0.01%
1 Week
65.75%
increased by 0.04%
1 Month
65.83%
increased by 0.12%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 08:13 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 28, 2026 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 30 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 30 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.3992 | 0.00 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9771 | 0.07 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.977
Half-life:
30 days
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