Busy Ming Group Co Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
56.30%
decreased by 1.93%
1 Week
59.43%
increased by 1.20%
1 Month
61.90%
increased by 3.67%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:43 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 28, 2026 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 3.92*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1657 | 3.37*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4564 | 4.63*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1176 | 1.01 |
Persistence:
0.681
Half-life:
2 days
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