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V-Lab

Ksp Co Ltd AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 18th, 2026

1 Day

76.34%

decreased by 2.67%

1 Week

76.08%

decreased by 2.93%

1 Month

75.11%

decreased by 3.90%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 16, 2026 at 12:16 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Ksp Co Ltd AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 11, 2007 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.990, volatility shocks have a half-life of 70 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: negative returns raise volatility more

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1231
4.21***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0627
12.12***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9275
162.53***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.6297
4.31***

Persistence:

0.990

Half-life:

70 days