V-Lab
Ksp Co Ltd AGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 18th, 2026
1 Day
76.34%
decreased by 2.67%
1 Week
76.08%
decreased by 2.93%
1 Month
75.11%
decreased by 3.90%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 16, 2026 at 12:16 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 11, 2007 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.990, volatility shocks have a half-life of 70 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: negative returns raise volatility more
σ
AGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1231 | 4.21*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0627 | 12.12*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9275 | 162.53*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.6297 | 4.31*** |
Persistence:
0.990
Half-life:
70 days
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