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V-Lab

HBL Engineering Ltd Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

38.25%

increased by 1.38%

1 Week

40.42%

increased by 3.55%

1 Month

45.84%

increased by 8.97%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 09:07 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of HBL Engineering Ltd APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 14, 2007 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 17% more than equivalent positive returns. The volatility power δ = 1.70 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.5255
9.20***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1684
40.68***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7820
151.83***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0464
5.68***
δ

power

Transformation power

1.7034
23.87***

Persistence:

0.935

Half-life:

10 days