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V-Lab

HBL Engineering Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

45.17%

decreased by 0.93%

1 Week

46.32%

increased by 0.22%

1 Month

47.91%

increased by 1.81%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 06:56 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of HBL Engineering Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 14, 2007 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 89% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

121
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0766
15.37***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7154
60.63***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0683
6.96***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0933
0.57
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0151
1.11
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9771
36.27***

Persistence:

0.826

Half-life:

4 days