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V-Lab

Siemens AG MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

35.22%

decreased by 1.10%

1 Week

35.32%

decreased by 1.00%

1 Month

35.47%

decreased by 0.85%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:39 PM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

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10Y ·

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graph of Siemens AG MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

56
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0183
8.68***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8685
130.21***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0828
20.42***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0091
2.47**
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0253
2.79***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9719
97.59***

Persistence:

0.928

Half-life:

9 days