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V-Lab

Siemens AG MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, October 7th, 2026

1 Day

27.17%

decreased by 0.42%

1 Week

27.64%

increased by 0.05%

1 Month

28.73%

increased by 1.14%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 7, 2026 at 06:47 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/06/2024

to

10/06/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Siemens AG MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow56
αARCH0.0185
2.69***
βGARCH0.8694
57.65***
γleverage0.0815
6.12***
λ₁tau intercept0.0093
1.70*
λ₂forecast adj.0.0252
2.89***
λ₃tau persistence0.9718
101.07***

0.929

Persistence

9d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

56
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0185
2.69***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8694
57.65***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0815
6.12***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0093
1.70*
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0252
2.89***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9718
101.07***

Persistence:

0.929

Half-life:

9 days