V-Lab
Nissui Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
27.15%
decreased by 0.98%
1 Week
29.73%
increased by 1.60%
1 Month
31.97%
increased by 3.84%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 10:27 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 3, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 127% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1035 | 21.11*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5533 | 38.36*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1310 | 13.27*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0261 | 2.04** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0238 | 3.64*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9711 | 116.90*** |
Persistence:
0.722
Half-life:
2 days
Other MF2-GARCH Analyses on International Equities