V-Lab
Nissui Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
28.53%
decreased by 1.61%
1 Week
30.55%
increased by 0.41%
1 Month
31.95%
increased by 1.81%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 02:11 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 3, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 126% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1040 | 21.16*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5524 | 38.30*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1311 | 13.25*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0262 | 2.04** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0238 | 3.64*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9710 | 116.55*** |
Persistence:
0.722
Half-life:
2 days
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