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V-Lab
V-Lab

Nissui Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 23rd, 2026

1 Day

24.63%

decreased by 0.59%

1 Week

26.95%

increased by 1.73%

1 Month

28.61%

increased by 3.39%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 07:35 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/22/2024

to

10/22/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Nissui Corp MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 3, 1990 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 124% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 124% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow21
αARCH0.1035
5.26***
βGARCH0.5549
10.82***
γleverage0.1282
3.23***
λ₁tau intercept0.0261
2.60***
λ₂forecast adj.0.0238
4.94***
λ₃tau persistence0.9710
164.85***

0.722

Persistence

2d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1035
5.26***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5549
10.82***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1282
3.23***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0261
2.60***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0238
4.94***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9710
164.85***

Persistence:

0.722

Half-life:

2 days