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V-Lab

Nissui Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

27.15%

decreased by 0.98%

1 Week

29.73%

increased by 1.60%

1 Month

31.97%

increased by 3.84%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 10:27 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Nissui Corp MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 3, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 127% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1035
21.11***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5533
38.36***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1310
13.27***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0261
2.04**
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0238
3.64***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9711
116.90***

Persistence:

0.722

Half-life:

2 days