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V-Lab

Nissui Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026

1 Day

31.55%

increased by 1.45%

1 Week

33.59%

increased by 3.49%

1 Month

35.80%

increased by 5.70%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 19, 2026 at 01:29 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Nissui Corp MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 3, 1990 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 128% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

66
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1031
20.41***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5362
32.36***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1318
13.44***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.1906
1.24
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.1606
1.45
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.8024
5.72***

Persistence:

0.705

Half-life:

2 days