V-Lab
GigaDevice Semiconductor Inc Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
144.19%
decreased by 0.64%
1 Week
141.80%
decreased by 3.03%
1 Month
133.36%
decreased by 11.47%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 08:54 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 13, 2026 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 41 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 41 days. The volatility power δ = 0.99 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.
μ
APMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0741 | 2.16** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0823 | 6.93*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9178 | 65.20*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0832 | -1.26 |
δ power Transformation power | 0.9944 | 3.15*** |
Persistence:
0.983
Half-life:
41 days
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