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V-Lab

CAR Mate MFG Co Ltd Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

22.30%

decreased by 0.21%

1 Week

23.22%

increased by 0.71%

1 Month

26.41%

increased by 3.90%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 11:28 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of CAR Mate MFG Co Ltd AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 20, 1995 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.992, volatility shocks have a half-life of 86 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Inverse leverage: Positive returns increase volatility 87% more than negative returns

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0993
9.24***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1018
16.50***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9139
306.98***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0473
-5.03***

Persistence:

0.992

Half-life:

86 days