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V-Lab

CAR Mate MFG Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

18.58%

increased by 0.85%

1 Week

19.79%

increased by 2.06%

1 Month

21.68%

increased by 3.95%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 12:09 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of CAR Mate MFG Co Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 20, 1995 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 22% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1955
19.30***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6486
54.09***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0346
-3.12***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0077
1.92*
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0141
4.48***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9849
293.81***

Persistence:

0.827

Half-life:

4 days