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V-Lab

Sats As GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

38.03%

increased by 3.73%

1 Week

38.26%

increased by 3.96%

1 Month

38.93%

increased by 4.63%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 07:55 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Sats As GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 23, 2019 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 265% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.3152
9.96***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0324
8.26***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8762
103.70***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0859
4.34***

Persistence:

0.952

Half-life:

14 days