V-Lab
Sats As GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
38.03%
increased by 3.73%
1 Week
38.26%
increased by 3.96%
1 Month
38.93%
increased by 4.63%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 07:55 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 23, 2019 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 265% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.3152 | 9.96*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0324 | 8.26*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8762 | 103.70*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0859 | 4.34*** |
Persistence:
0.952
Half-life:
14 days
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