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V-Lab

Sats As GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

31.50%

decreased by 0.35%

1 Week

32.33%

increased by 0.48%

1 Month

34.75%

increased by 2.90%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 07:57 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Sats As GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 23, 2019 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 208% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.2741
9.79***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0373
8.86***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8821
108.94***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0776
4.02***

Persistence:

0.958

Half-life:

16 days