Sats As GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
31.50%
decreased by 0.35%
1 Week
32.33%
increased by 0.48%
1 Month
34.75%
increased by 2.90%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 07:57 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 23, 2019 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 208% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.2741 | 9.79*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0373 | 8.86*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8821 | 108.94*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0776 | 4.02*** |
Persistence:
0.958
Half-life:
16 days
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