Sats As GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
29.58%
decreased by 0.44%
1 Week
30.54%
increased by 0.52%
1 Month
33.35%
increased by 3.33%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 07:57 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 23, 2019 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 17 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 17 days.
σ
GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.2559 | 10.66*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0841 | 11.54*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8765 | 103.81*** |
Persistence:
0.961
Half-life:
17 days
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