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V-Lab
V-Lab

Sats As GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026

1 Day

30.84%

increased by 1.11%

1 Week

31.77%

increased by 2.04%

1 Month

34.33%

increased by 4.60%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, October 18, 2026 at 12:57 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/16/2024

to

10/16/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Sats As GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 23, 2019 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 14 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 14 days.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 14-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.3074
2.53**
αARCH0.0842
2.88***
βGARCH0.8663
23.99***

0.951

Persistence

14d

Half-life
σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.3074
2.53**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0842
2.88***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8663
23.99***

Persistence:

0.951

Half-life:

14 days