V-Lab
Liaoning Shidai Wanheng Co Ltd GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
49.03%
decreased by 1.53%
1 Week
49.03%
decreased by 1.53%
1 Month
49.06%
decreased by 1.50%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 06:25 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 28, 2000 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 28 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 28 days.
σ
GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.2370 | 20.76*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1020 | 38.22*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8734 | 264.02*** |
Persistence:
0.975
Half-life:
28 days
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