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V-Lab

Liaoning Shidai Wanheng Co Ltd Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

51.70%

decreased by 2.48%

1 Week

50.58%

decreased by 3.60%

1 Month

47.55%

decreased by 6.63%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 10:27 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Liaoning Shidai Wanheng Co Ltd S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 28, 2000 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 10 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.7764
6.48***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1190
8.75***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8109
37.22***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=6
γ10.1467
4.15***
γ2-0.2642
-4.82***
γ30.1681
3.91***
γ4-0.0839
-2.13**
γ50.0605
1.74*
γ6-0.0335
-1.42

Persistence:

0.930

Half-life:

10 days