Liaoning Shidai Wanheng Co Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026
1 Day
111.35%
decreased by 0.39%
1 Week
109.18%
decreased by 2.56%
1 Month
101.48%
decreased by 10.26%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, October 25, 2026 at 01:20 AM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 28, 2000 to Oct 23, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 27 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 27 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 27-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.2545 | 5.63*** |
| αARCH | 0.1297 | 5.59*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8669 | 65.04*** |
| γleverage | -0.0430 | -1.34 |
0.975
Persistence27d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.2545 | 5.63*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1297 | 5.59*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8669 | 65.04*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0430 | -1.34 |
Persistence:
0.975
Half-life:
27 days
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