V-Lab
Liaoning Shidai Wanheng Co Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 8th, 2026
1 Day
91.65%
increased by 12.50%
1 Week
90.07%
increased by 10.92%
1 Month
84.48%
increased by 5.33%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 06:16 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 28, 2000 to Sep 30, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 27 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 27 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 27-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.2531 | 5.61*** |
| αARCH | 0.1277 | 5.47*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8679 | 65.09*** |
| γleverage | -0.0416 | -1.28 |
0.975
Persistence27d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.2531 | 5.61*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1277 | 5.47*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8679 | 65.09*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0416 | -1.28 |
Persistence:
0.975
Half-life:
27 days
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