V-Lab
Liaoning Shidai Wanheng Co Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
55.70%
decreased by 2.21%
1 Week
55.47%
decreased by 2.44%
1 Month
54.65%
decreased by 3.26%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 10:24 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 28, 2000 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 48% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.2383 | 22.03*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1244 | 21.77*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8719 | 268.54*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0401 | -5.03*** |
Persistence:
0.976
Half-life:
29 days
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