V-Lab
Liaoning Shidai Wanheng Co Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
41.35%
decreased by 0.41%
1 Week
41.81%
increased by 0.05%
1 Month
43.33%
increased by 1.57%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 06:43 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 28, 2000 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 47% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.2410 | 22.13*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1245 | 21.79*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8711 | 267.22*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0396 | -4.96*** |
Persistence:
0.976
Half-life:
28 days
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