V-Lab
Liaoning Shidai Wanheng Co Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
45.01%
decreased by 0.22%
1 Week
45.28%
increased by 0.05%
1 Month
46.21%
increased by 0.98%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 06:44 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 28, 2000 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 32 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 32 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.68 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 10.3370 | 5.70*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1040 | 29.47*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9785 | 259.14*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 4.6769 | 11.06*** |
Persistence:
0.979
Half-life:
32 days
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