Liaoning Shidai Wanheng Co Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026
1 Day
136.61%
increased by 3.53%
1 Week
133.68%
increased by 0.60%
1 Month
123.22%
decreased by 9.86%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, October 25, 2026 at 01:21 AM UTC
Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 28, 2000 to Oct 23, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 27 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 27 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 5.39 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 27-day half-lifev = 5.39 · fat tails
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωlong-run | 10.5806 | 1.83* |
| αscore | 0.1165 | 7.40*** |
| βpersistence | 0.9747 | 69.30*** |
| νDF | 5.3871 | 2.38** |
0.975
Persistence27d
Half-life𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω long-run Long-run variance given a price move | 10.5806 | 1.83* |
α score Weight on the scaled score | 0.1165 | 7.40*** |
β persistence Volatility persistence | 0.9747 | 69.30*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 5.3871 | 2.38** |
Persistence:
0.975
Half-life:
27 days
Other Liaoning Shidai Wanheng Co Ltd Analyses
Other GAS-GARCH Student T Analyses on International Equities