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V-Lab
V-Lab

Liaoning Shidai Wanheng Co Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 8th, 2026

1 Day

66.51%

increased by 13.25%

1 Week

65.93%

increased by 12.67%

1 Month

63.88%

increased by 10.62%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 06:17 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/30/2024

to

09/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Liaoning Shidai Wanheng Co Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 28, 2000 to Sep 30, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 31 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 31 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.65 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 31-day half-lifev = 4.65 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst10.4473
1.42
αARCH0.1051
7.34***
βGARCH0.9781
63.26***
νDF4.6475
2.79***

0.978

Persistence

31d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

10.4473
1.42
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1051
7.34***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9781
63.26***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

4.6475
2.79***

Persistence:

0.978

Half-life:

31 days