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V-Lab

Liaoning Shidai Wanheng Co Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

60.20%

decreased by 1.94%

1 Week

59.86%

decreased by 2.28%

1 Month

58.64%

decreased by 3.50%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 10:25 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Liaoning Shidai Wanheng Co Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 28, 2000 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 32 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 32 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.66 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

10.4037
5.64***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1037
29.53***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9788
260.39***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

4.6609
11.14***

Persistence:

0.979

Half-life:

32 days