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V-Lab

Liaoning Shidai Wanheng Co Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

45.01%

decreased by 0.22%

1 Week

45.28%

increased by 0.05%

1 Month

46.21%

increased by 0.98%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 06:44 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Liaoning Shidai Wanheng Co Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 28, 2000 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 32 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 32 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.68 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

10.3370
5.70***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1040
29.47***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9785
259.14***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

4.6769
11.06***

Persistence:

0.979

Half-life:

32 days