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V-Lab
V-Lab

Liaoning Shidai Wanheng Co Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026

1 Day

136.61%

increased by 3.53%

1 Week

133.68%

increased by 0.60%

1 Month

123.22%

decreased by 9.86%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, October 25, 2026 at 01:21 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/23/2024

to

10/23/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Liaoning Shidai Wanheng Co Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 28, 2000 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 27 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 27 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 5.39 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 27-day half-lifev = 5.39 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωlong-run10.5806
1.83*
αscore0.1165
7.40***
βpersistence0.9747
69.30***
νDF5.3871
2.38**

0.975

Persistence

27d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

long-run

Long-run variance given a price move

10.5806
1.83*
α

score

Weight on the scaled score

0.1165
7.40***
β

persistence

Volatility persistence

0.9747
69.30***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

5.3871
2.38**

Persistence:

0.975

Half-life:

27 days