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V-Lab
V-Lab

Liaoning Shidai Wanheng Co Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

32.47%

increased by 2.17%

1 Week

33.46%

increased by 3.16%

1 Month

36.68%

increased by 6.38%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 06:16 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Liaoning Shidai Wanheng Co Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 28, 2000 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 32 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 32 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.69 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 32-day half-lifev = 4.69 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst10.2807
1.44
αARCH0.1041
7.38***
βGARCH0.9784
64.81***
νDF4.6862
2.76***

0.978

Persistence

32d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

10.2807
1.44
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1041
7.38***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9784
64.81***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

4.6862
2.76***

Persistence:

0.978

Half-life:

32 days