V-Lab
Liaoning Shidai Wanheng Co Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
60.20%
decreased by 1.94%
1 Week
59.86%
decreased by 2.28%
1 Month
58.64%
decreased by 3.50%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 10:25 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 28, 2000 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 32 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 32 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.66 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 10.4037 | 5.64*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1037 | 29.53*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9788 | 260.39*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 4.6609 | 11.14*** |
Persistence:
0.979
Half-life:
32 days
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