V-Lab
Nancal Technology Co.,Ltd GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
51.21%
decreased by 1.82%
1 Week
51.31%
decreased by 1.72%
1 Month
51.53%
decreased by 1.50%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 06:44 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 21, 2016 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days.
σ
GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.2342 | 15.06*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1006 | 20.28*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7831 | 71.53*** |
Persistence:
0.884
Half-life:
6 days
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