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V-Lab

Nancal Technology Co.,Ltd GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

51.21%

decreased by 1.82%

1 Week

51.31%

decreased by 1.72%

1 Month

51.53%

decreased by 1.50%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 06:44 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Nancal Technology Co.,Ltd GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 21, 2016 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.2342
15.06***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1006
20.28***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7831
71.53***

Persistence:

0.884

Half-life:

6 days