V-Lab
Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
41.28%
decreased by 1.40%
1 Week
43.77%
increased by 1.09%
1 Month
49.68%
increased by 7.00%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 07:24 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 1, 2020 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 10 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 10 days.
σ
GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.9184 | 10.01*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1286 | 15.54*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8023 | 61.11*** |
Persistence:
0.931
Half-life:
10 days
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