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V-Lab

Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

41.28%

decreased by 1.40%

1 Week

43.77%

increased by 1.09%

1 Month

49.68%

increased by 7.00%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 07:24 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 1, 2020 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 10 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 10 days.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9184
10.01***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1286
15.54***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8023
61.11***

Persistence:

0.931

Half-life:

10 days