Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
70.46%
increased by 8.79%
1 Week
75.62%
increased by 13.95%
1 Month
92.11%
increased by 30.44%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:23 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 1, 2020 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 54 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 54 days.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.7643 | 14.22*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3552 | 21.37*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6069 | 50.01*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0503 | 1.30 |
Persistence:
0.987
Half-life:
54 days
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