Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
54.23%
increased by 3.65%
1 Week
55.32%
increased by 4.74%
1 Month
58.24%
increased by 7.66%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:23 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 1, 2020 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 58% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1973 | 12.11*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2467 | 17.81*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9283 | 144.98*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0552 | 4.38*** |
Persistence:
0.928
Half-life:
9 days
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