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V-Lab

Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

54.23%

increased by 3.65%

1 Week

55.32%

increased by 4.74%

1 Month

58.24%

increased by 7.66%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:23 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 1, 2020 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 58% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1973
12.11***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2467
17.81***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9283
144.98***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0552
4.38***

Persistence:

0.928

Half-life:

9 days