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V-Lab

Qingdao Paguld Intelligent EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

37.65%

decreased by 3.59%

1 Week

41.38%

increased by 0.14%

1 Month

47.19%

increased by 5.95%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 07:32 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Qingdao Paguld Intelligent EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 14, 2023 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.4327
10.00***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3791
9.16***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8130
41.84***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0051
-0.20

Persistence:

0.813

Half-life:

3 days