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V-Lab

Qingdao Paguld Intelligent GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

40.61%

decreased by 5.20%

1 Week

45.61%

decreased by 0.20%

1 Month

49.51%

increased by 3.70%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 07:47 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Qingdao Paguld Intelligent GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 14, 2023 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

3.1843
12.73***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2761
8.31***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.4014
14.36***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0273
0.43

Persistence:

0.691

Half-life:

2 days