Gujarat Energy Ltd EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
40.72%
decreased by 0.68%
1 Week
40.53%
decreased by 0.87%
1 Month
39.87%
decreased by 1.53%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 07:00 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 15, 2015 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 31 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 31 days.
σ
EGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0363 | 8.78*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0650 | 5.78*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9782 | 399.91*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0023 | -0.39 |
Persistence:
0.978
Half-life:
31 days
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