V-Lab
Nordea Bank Abp GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
21.62%
decreased by 0.75%
1 Week
22.04%
decreased by 0.33%
1 Month
23.47%
increased by 1.10%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 07:37 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 31, 2000 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 38 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 38 days.
σ
GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0707 | 19.06*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0837 | 36.62*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8981 | 357.23*** |
Persistence:
0.982
Half-life:
38 days
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