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V-Lab

Nordea Bank Abp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

18.36%

decreased by 0.17%

1 Week

19.12%

increased by 0.59%

1 Month

21.15%

increased by 2.62%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 07:59 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Nordea Bank Abp MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 31, 2000 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

71
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0297
13.03***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8566
200.55***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1249
25.08***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0249
4.87***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0254
5.30***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9673
155.66***

Persistence:

0.949

Half-life:

13 days