Skip to main content
V-Lab

Nordea Bank Abp GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

17.55%

increased by 0.89%

1 Week

17.94%

increased by 1.28%

1 Month

19.35%

increased by 2.69%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 07:58 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Nordea Bank Abp GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 31, 2000 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 63 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 63 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 5.73 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

3.8063
4.15***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0680
28.13***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9890
355.39***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

5.7293
6.25***

Persistence:

0.989

Half-life:

63 days