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V-Lab

Nordea Bank Abp GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

18.78%

decreased by 0.10%

1 Week

19.44%

increased by 0.56%

1 Month

21.57%

increased by 2.69%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 07:57 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Nordea Bank Abp GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 31, 2000 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 256% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0789
20.09***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0371
16.41***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8951
384.97***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0951
15.33***

Persistence:

0.980

Half-life:

34 days