V-Lab
Nordea Bank Abp GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
18.78%
decreased by 0.10%
1 Week
19.44%
increased by 0.56%
1 Month
21.57%
increased by 2.69%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 07:57 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 31, 2000 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 256% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0789 | 20.09*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0371 | 16.41*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8951 | 384.97*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0951 | 15.33*** |
Persistence:
0.980
Half-life:
34 days
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